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Home / News / Trump’s Achilles Heel

Trump’s Achilles Heel

Posted on: 02-25-2016 Posted in: News

A candidate who presents his or her ideas from their best perspective represents campaigning at its ethical best.  When two or more candidates do this, it allows voters to see issues from every angle, to witness how the ideas hold up under the clash of debate.

 

But, for cynical politicians, telling voters what they want to hear, even if the politician thinks it’s nuts, is the way to win elections…on the cheap.

 

Donald J. Trump takes this philosophy one step further.  He doesn’t just tell supporters what they want to hear; he speaks their minds, especially their fears, their prejudices, their hostilities, their anger — even the profanity used in barroom political conversations.

 

One of my readers put it well:  “It occurs to me…that it isn’t so much that Trump ‘speaks his mind’, but that he speaks the mind of the dissatisfied voter. And, who is to blame for voter dissatisfaction but the obstructionism in the current government?

 

“This Congress has the lowest approval rating of any previously. The current rise of Trump with his [middle-finger] attitude for everyone and everything is just how voters feel. The Republican Party has worked long and hard [to] block anything with Obama’s name on it. The result is that people are angry and frustrated…”

 

Few political analysts have put Trump’s strategy as succinctly, while many others have yet to uncover it.  Yet, here is the ‘secret’ of Trump’s success:  He has observed the growing frustration with gridlock in Washington that Republican Leaders fostered, and he’s capitalizing on it by posturing as the ultimate ‘anti-Establishment’ candidate, even though he, himself, is a bona fide, entrenched, Wall Street establishment member.

 

There is ample evidence Donald Trump has few convictions. There is live debate evidence that Trump has given no thought to developing policies.  Instead, Trump presents plans by looking at what his target voters want, then concocting simple solutions:  for instance, deporting eleven million anonymous immigrants and building a wall. And the Mexican government will pay for it.

 

Trump has never met a campaign position he didn’t embrace:  He was for the Iraq War before he was against it.  He was for abortion before he opposed it.  In the early debates, he called his opponents dumb, incompetent, even too ugly to be President.  This week, he talked about how qualified, smart, and dedicated they are — the same ones.

 

By saying what his supporters think, Trump sought to bond them to him. It worked very well.  His supporters view attacks on Trump as personal attacks on themselves.  He’s been so successful with mesmerizing loyalty that, as he boasted, “I could stand in the middle of 5th Avenue and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose voters,”

 

Trump is now shedding some of his ‘bad boy’ persona. He’s shifting to the middle to capitalize on Democratic voter anger over Republican obstruction in Washington. Never mind that they want Trump and his Wall Street partners to willingly give up government policies that corner most of the nation’s income wealth.

 

And, never mind that those same policies have pushed millions of Americans out of the Middle Class into pay-check to pay-check poverty.  Trump is certain he can perform his smoke and mirrors routine just as well on them as he has on the extreme radical right.

 

After placing fourth against Trump in South Carolina, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush suspended his presidential campaign.  The Bush family is well liked, even loved, among Republicans.  Trump made a big mistake in attacking them. Trump does have an Achilles heel.  Still, Jeb did not grasp the depth of voter anger over Washington gridlock and those associated with it.  Nor did he give the appearance of a robust, hungry candidate, a quality Trump exploited.  Finally, as well loved as the Bush family is, voters want (as Obama put it), “that new car smell.”  Three Bushes was just one too many.

 

Trump has benefited by taking extreme positions that capture media obsession and that set the issues: witness what he’s done on immigration.  Absent Trump, we’d be debating deporting immigrants vs immigration reform.  Instead, so far, the entire immigration debate centers around deporting families vs not prohibiting immigrants to return — the latter position being Senator Marco Rubio’s massive flip-flop or politicsl evolution.

 

Just around the corner are eleven states with primaries. It’s “Super Tuesday,” which this year falls on March 1.  Ted Cruz enters these primaries wounded by his loss in South Carolina where the large evangelical vote was supposed to be his firewall.  Nor, did it help that both Trump and Rubio attacked him as a serial liar, though (truth be told) some of what he did was merely to quote his opponents.

 

A Trump nomination, even if he should sweep all eleven Super Tuesday states, is not inevitable. Trump does have vulnerabilities.  Ohio Gov. John Kasich stands a competitive chance of beating Trump in Ohio and Michigan.  This would cause a major reassessment of Trump’s electability.  Further, as the number of Trump’s opponents shrink, their former supporters will grow Rubio’s share of the vote.

 

It’s not over. Far from it on both sides.

About the Author

Donna Brazile
Veteran Democratic political strategist Donna Brazile is an adjunct professor, author, syndicated columnist, television political commentator, Vice Chair of Voter Registration and Participation at the Democratic National Committee, and former interim National Chair of the Democratic National Committee as well as the former chair of the DNC’s Voting Rights Institute.

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